Who's good at maths? - Guild Wars Forums

Tactical-Dillusions · Nov 22, 2005, 08:15 PM // 20:15

I had a whirling defence on me which is a 75% chance to block attacks and my target was also blind, that gives it an additional 90% chance to miss.

So, with the combined 75% evade chance and the enemies 90% miss chance, what are the odds that a lone rockshot could distract my skill?

It happened!

Shimus DarkRaven · Nov 22, 2005, 08:21 PM // 20:21

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tactical-Dillusions

I had a whirling defence on me which is a 75% chance to block attacks and my target was also blind, that gives it an additional 90% chance to miss.

So, with the combined 75% evade chance and the enemies 90% miss chance, what are the odds that a lone rockshot could distract my skill?

It happened!

Seeing as distracting shot ignores conditions <I don't know how, but it does, it acts purely as an interrupt> it's a pretty good probability. I've layed it on thick like that before farming griffs in the desert when I multi-agged rockshots...they still interupt.

Don't know why, but it happens..

--The Shim

Tactical-Dillusions · Nov 22, 2005, 08:24 PM // 20:24

I've missed many distracting shots in Arena because of blindness.

Most of the time, the rockshots do miss when blinded. It was just this one instance when it managed to hit through a stance and a condition.

stefan16 · Nov 22, 2005, 08:25 PM // 20:25

0.25 x 0.1 = 0.025

Shimus DarkRaven · Nov 22, 2005, 08:25 PM // 20:25

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tactical-Dillusions

I've missed many distracting shots in Arena because of blindness.

Most of the time, the rockshots do miss when blinded. It was just this one instance when it managed to hit through a stance and a condition.

Well then, lets take a look at the math. He already has a 90% chance to miss <which means a10% chance to hit> Which is still likely, and after that resolves and the shot is fired, you still have a 75% chance to dodge <which means a 25% chance to hit> which means, it is possible, as you've stated. Of course, it's a very lucky hit.

--The Shim

knives · Nov 22, 2005, 08:27 PM // 20:27

I've had bonettis + guardian on me, and the rockshots used distracting shot on me, doing no damage, but still interrupting me. I believe it acts as a spell, or it did before/still does from some update.

Tactical-Dillusions · Nov 22, 2005, 08:30 PM // 20:30

Quote:

Originally Posted by stefan16

0.25 x 0.1 = 0.025

...just

That's crazy. I'm going to report that rockshot for hacking.

Shimus DarkRaven · Nov 22, 2005, 08:32 PM // 20:32

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tactical-Dillusions

...just

That's crazy. I'm going to report that rockshot for hacking.

While you're at it, name all the other animals/enemies that hack too! Viva la HUMAN RESISTANCE? =) Lol

Other then what I posted, I don't really see why it would hit <unless very luck distracting shot> or that it really does ignore conditions when used by an enemy...

--The Shim

Racthoh · Nov 22, 2005, 08:34 PM // 20:34

Single enemy hitting through a full 11 second Gladiator's Defense.

My Hundred Blades missing both times while under Price of Failure.

Bah, this game is against me.

Tactical-Dillusions · Nov 22, 2005, 09:04 PM // 21:04

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racthoh

Single enemy hitting through a full 11 second Gladiator's Defense.

My Hundred Blades missing both times while under Price of Failure.

Bah, this game is against me.

Does missing with hundred blades through price of failure count as two health deductions per hit? LOL. Damn bad luck.

Racthoh · Nov 22, 2005, 09:12 PM // 21:12

Can't remember, I was too frustrated. Pretty sure it did count it twice since they are considered separate attacks. Obviously not as bad as the blind/whirling situation... but it still can be aggrevating.

Sir Skullcrasher · Nov 22, 2005, 09:21 PM // 21:21

there is a 99.999 % chance that i don't know math..

But i do agree, 0.025 is about correct for that skills hit ratio!

Carinae · Nov 22, 2005, 09:39 PM // 21:39

Yea, but 0.025 is 2.5%

So, it's very unlikely, but not crazy ridiculously unlikely.

Nov 22, 2005, 08:15 PM // 20:15	#1
Tactical-Dillusions Desert Nomad Join Date: May 2005 Location: Grimsby, UK Profession: R/	Who's good at maths? I had a whirling defence on me which is a 75% chance to block attacks and my target was also blind, that gives it an additional 90% chance to miss. So, with the combined 75% evade chance and the enemies 90% miss chance, what are the odds that a lone rockshot could distract my skill? It happened!

Nov 22, 2005, 08:24 PM // 20:24	#3
Tactical-Dillusions Desert Nomad Join Date: May 2005 Location: Grimsby, UK Profession: R/	I've missed many distracting shots in Arena because of blindness. Most of the time, the rockshots do miss when blinded. It was just this one instance when it managed to hit through a stance and a condition.

Nov 22, 2005, 08:25 PM // 20:25	#4
stefan16 Krytan Explorer Join Date: Jul 2005 Guild: The Heroes Of Revenge [Thor] Profession: W/Mo	0.25 x 0.1 = 0.025

Nov 22, 2005, 08:27 PM // 20:27	#6
knives Jungle Guide Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: USA Guild: Grenths Rejects [GR] Profession: Me/	I've had bonettis + guardian on me, and the rockshots used distracting shot on me, doing no damage, but still interrupting me. I believe it acts as a spell, or it did before/still does from some update.

Nov 22, 2005, 08:34 PM // 20:34	#9
Racthoh Did I hear 7 heroes? Join Date: May 2005 Guild: Scars Meadows [SMS], Guild Leader (Not Recruiting)	Single enemy hitting through a full 11 second Gladiator's Defense. My Hundred Blades missing both times while under Price of Failure. Bah, this game is against me.

Nov 22, 2005, 09:12 PM // 21:12	#11
Racthoh Did I hear 7 heroes? Join Date: May 2005 Guild: Scars Meadows [SMS], Guild Leader (Not Recruiting)	Can't remember, I was too frustrated. Pretty sure it did count it twice since they are considered separate attacks. Obviously not as bad as the blind/whirling situation... but it still can be aggrevating.

Nov 22, 2005, 09:21 PM // 21:21	#12
Sir Skullcrasher Furnace Stoker Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: California Guild: 15 over 50 [Rare] Profession: W/Mo	there is a 99.999 % chance that i don't know math.. But i do agree, 0.025 is about correct for that skills hit ratio!

Nov 22, 2005, 09:39 PM // 21:39	#13
Carinae Forge Runner Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Inside Guild: Fifteen Over Fifty [Rare]	Yea, but 0.025 is 2.5% So, it's very unlikely, but not crazy ridiculously unlikely.